Expectation of Fed ra上海乌托邦s an over-reaction

Herd instinct is the human nature to follow the crowd and act collectively – and market expectation always does not change smoothly but t

上海乌托邦ends to over-react to new information. The current market expectation of the US Federal Reserve’s rate cuts is a case in point.

On June 20, the latest meeting of the Fed’s policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee shrugged off the market’s high expectation of rate cuts and gave no clear policy signal confirming a cut.

We believe the market had overreacted in forming its expectation of rate cuts after the Fed swiftly adopted a dovish tone from the end of last上海乌托邦

year. Specifically, we believe market expectation – it has formed since May – of a change in policy stance, as well as the timing and degree of rate cuts, may not fully materialize.

We will elaborate on this now. It should be noted the misconceived expectation of Fed rate cuts could ind上海乌托邦

uce a drastic reversal in investor sentiment and asset price fluctuations, if the Fed’s moves miss expectation.

Firstly, the market may have overestimated the degree of the Fed’s policy stance change. A clear rate cut signal may not emerge until the end of this month.上海乌托邦

According to Bloomberg, the Fed funds futures market has recently priced in a 98.5-percent chance that the Fed will lower rates at least once this year.

上海乌托邦品茶微信However, the Fed’s earlier forward guidance only indicated the end of monetary policy n

ormalization, which does not necessarily point to the beginning of a rate cut cycle. Also, the Fed h

as removed the word “patient” from the latest FOMC meeting statement but did not confirm a rate-cut stance.

We believe that because of the following two reasons, the Fed is still on cautious lookout, and t

here will not be any clear rate cut signal or plan until the next FOMC meeting at the end of this month.上海乌托邦品茶微信

Externally, the Fed is expected to stand pat until trade dispute uncertainties ease, to give itself an advantage in its game with the US Administration.

The Fed would put itself in an unfavorable position if it initiated a rate cut before majo上海乌托邦品茶微信

r uncertainties over the China-US trade dispute are removed, because the pre-emptive move may enc

ourage the US Administration to escalate the trade dispute, which will in turn pose a dilemma to the Fed.

That’s because any escalation in trade tensions will, on the one hand, d

ssipate and even offset the easing boost from rate cuts and force the Fed to accelerate the上海乌托邦品茶微信

rate cut pace. On the other hand, the escalation could further fuel imported inflation, which will significantly reduce the

Fed’s room for rate cuts. The Fed will then face a policy-making dilemma of whether to further cut rates.

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Earlier, the Kenyan gove上海会所品茶微信d revealed that th

medical personnel 上海会所品茶微信who were sent to Sierra Leone and Liberia in 2015 will man points of entry to detect Ebola

cases. The team that returned in June last year was part of the African Union mission in Ebola in West Africa.

Contingency plans

Contingency plans had long been put in place in Uganda for possible imported Ebola cases, according to WHO. The gov

ernment has vaccinated about 4,700 health workers in 165 health facilities, including the one where the dead boy was treated.

“This is a sobering development that everyone has been working to avoi

d and highlights the complexity of the Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the

Congo,” Robert Redfield, director of the country’s Center for Disease Control and Prevention, said in a statement.

Redfield had issued a warning, a week ago, that the outbreak in the DR Congo could spread outside the country. He ad

ded that there was a risk of the current supply of vaccines running out before more is produced.

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ing addresses the 1上海会所女神会所 Council of Heads of

President calls 上海会所女神会所on members to support regional links to Belt and Road Initiative

Members of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization should follow the trend of economic globalization and

build the SCO into a community with a shared future, President Xi Jinping said on Friday.

Xi made the remark while delivering a speech at the 19th

meeting of the Council of Heads of State of the SCO in Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan’s capital.

SCO members should promote the multilateral trading system, buil

d an open global economy and put forward more policies to facilitate trade and investment, he said.

Xi proposed making full use of cooperation platforms such as the China Intern

ational Import Expo to promote the openness, exchanges and integration of regional economies.

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emier Li Keqiang presides over a State Council meeting

上海乌托邦女神会所 Premier Li Keqiang called for greater strides in reform and opening-up to stimulate market v

itality and to transform and upgrade economic structure in revitalizing the rust belt in Northeast China.

Li’s remarks came as he presided over a State Council meeting on Thursday on revitalizing the country’s traditional industrial bases.

He underscored the importance of transforming government functions

and bettering the business environment, and urged government departments to offer

more support to provinces in the Northeast in streamlining administration.

The tax cuts and fee reduction policies must be implemented in full, an

d the country will make the region a priority in special transfer payments to localities, he said.

The reform of State-owned enterprises must be moved forw

ard, and more work must be done to expand the private sector, he said.

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Terracotta Warriors begin tour of duty at Australian museum

Eight life-size Terracotta Warriors from China are among the works sho

wn as part of a rare exhibition being hosted by the National Gallery of Victoria in Melbourne.

The exhibition, Terracotta Warriors: Guardians of Immortality/Cai Guo-Qiang: The Transient Landscape, runs from May 24 to Oct 13.

It offers a new perspective on China’s traditional culture with more than 160 exhibits

on show, including the Qin emperor’s Terracotta Warriors, which were discovered in 1974 in China’s nor

thwestern Shaanxi province, and are widely described as one of the wonders of the world.

The exhibition features eight warriors and two life-size horses from the im

perial army, as well as two half-size replicas of bronze chariots, each drawn by four horses.

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Technology teams from Shanghai universities start

businesses in Suzhou, Zhejiang province. Things like this happen a lot now,” Wang said.

“And plans to build data infrastructure, such as cloud computi

ng and data centers, have been made in the integrated development of the region.”

The report also surveyed AI education in China, which has started at all levels. More tha

n 30 universities have opened schools on AI, and 75 established AI majors or interdisciplinary majors with AI.

China’s first high school textbook on AI was published by East China Normal Universit

y last year, and 40 high schools nationwide have participated in a pilot program on teaching AI to their students.

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Xinjiang to launch up to 100 trains for tourists

As tours to Xinjiang Uygur autonomous region have become increasingly popular among tourists from home and abroad, local

authorities have announced a plan recently to launch as many as 100 special trains for tourists from May to October.

The local railway authorities will step up cooperation with other part

s of the country to boost Xinjiang’s tourism development, according to Huang Ti

ngfen, deputy general manager of Xinjiang Railway Tourism Development Group.

The trains will provide easier access to both the southern and northern parts of Xinjia

ng, said Huang. It will also be more convenient for Xinjiang residents to travel to other parts of the country.

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China will further open the financial market to welcom

e more overseas investors in. The cross-border trade and investment will be more free and convenient, said Pan.

He called China’s economy stable, as the major economic indicators were within a reasonable range.

In April, the National Bureau of Statistics said the purchasing ma

nagers’ index for the manufacturing sector stood at 50.1, indicating expansion as the reading was above 50.

The broad money supply, or M2, increased 8.5 percent year-on-year by the end of April, compared with 8.3 percent a year earlier.

“The prudential monetary policy was focused on countercyclical adjustments this year, maintaining flexibility as well as

ample liquidity to promote fast growth of credit and strengthened support of private and small enterprises,” Pan added.

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In Forbes’s ranking, 309 of the world’s top 2,000 largest publ

 public companies are from the Chinese mainland and Hong Kong.

The United States has 575 companies, the most among the 61 countries and regions involved in the ranking.

Japan is third-largest contributor, with 223 companies joining in the list.

This year marks the 17th release of the Global 2000 ranking since it was first published by Forbes in 2003, when the Unite

d States was home to 776 companies in the list while the Chinese mainland and Hong Kong only had 43.

Industry-wise, banks and diversified finance make

up most of the list, with 453 companies appearing on it, followed by tech ind

ustry and construction industry, with 184 and 123 companies on the list, respectively.

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Uber has also weathered controversies including revelati

ions of a culture of sexism and bullying at Uber and US Department of Justice investigations. After a series of embarrassments, Kalanick was forced to res

ign in 2017 by a group of investors. Uber then hired Khosrowshahi to lead the company.

Uber has said it has the potential to grow not just in the cab hailing business, but also as a “sup

erapp” to provide logistic services, such as grocery and food delivery, organizing freight tra

nsportation, and even financial services, much like Grab, its Southeast Asian counterpart.

But market experts have struggled to find value in a company that has consistently posted los

ses, and warned that it may never be profitable. “The business is unprofitable, new entrants can enter the ma

rket, there is potential regulatory risk, and it is very price sensitive. What is there to like about this opportunity?” Ro

bert Johnson, professor of finance at Heider College of Business, Creighton University in Omaha, Nebraska said.

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